Economic indicators over the recent period delivered a mixed but informative set of signals. The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in slightly worse than expected at 47.9% versus 48.3% expected, marking the tenth straight month of contraction and the lowest reading of 2025.

Economic indicators over the recent period provide a nuanced view of U.S. conditions as the year closed. Crude oil inventories showed mixed results at the end of the year, with a small increase followed by a decline. However, product stockpiles — like gasoline and distillates — rose sharply, reinforcing the view that supply remains ample.